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Iran's Resistance at Risk: Could Trump-Putin Talks Undermine the Fight Against the Regime? šŸ‡®šŸ‡·āš–ļøšŸ”

As President Donald Trump's administrationengages in discussions with Russian President Vladimir Putin, concerns are mounting within Iran's resistance movements. Many fear that these talks might lead to geopolitical compromises, potentially sidelining Iran’s opposition efforts.


Another Potential Betrayal? šŸ¤šŸ’°


Iran’s conservative newspaper, Jomhouri-e Eslami, has issued a stark warning:


> "Russia [could sacrifice] Iran's interests to get US concessions in [the] Ukraine war."




(Source: Jomhouri-e Eslami, publishers appointed by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei).


This reflects growing concerns that Moscow might prioritize its own strategic gains over Tehran's interests, especially concerning the Ukraine conflict.


Iran has been a pivotal partner for Russia during their unprovoked war on Ukraine. Having at least one large shahed drone manufacturing plant inside Russia. Iran has player a crucial ally for Russia in the Middle East.



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Iran's Resistance Movements & Their International Backers šŸŒŽ


People's Mojahedin Organization of Iran (MEK) šŸ›ļø


Overview: A secular, exiled opposition group aiming to overthrow the Islamic Republic.


International Support: Previously designated as a terrorist organization by the U.S., but later delisted. Some Western politicians have expressed support for the movement


Source:



National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI) šŸ“


Overview: A coalition, including the MEK, advocating for a secular, democratic Iran.


International Support: Has organized large rallies in Paris, drawing Iranian dissidents and support from some Western lawmakers.



Source:


Iranian Kurdish Groups (PDKI, Komala) āš”ļø


Overview: Fighting for Kurdish autonomy and rights within Iran.


International Support: These groups have received varying degrees of support from regional actors, though the U.S. has not officially backed them.


Source:


Monarchists šŸ‘‘


Overview: Supporters of Reza Pahlavi, the exiled crown prince, who advocate for restoring the monarchy.


International Support: Iranian monarchists are active in U.S. and European diaspora communities but lack formal government backing.



Source:



Depiction of the Iranian resistance movement
Depiction of the Iranian resistance movement


Implications of US-Russia Negotiations on Iran’s Opposition Movements šŸ•Šļøāš ļø


The potential for Trump and Putin to reach a deal that overlooks Iran’s internal struggles poses serious risks:


Geopolitical Realignments: Trump may prioritize striking a deal with Putin, particularly on Ukraine, at the cost of Iran's opposition groups.

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Marginalization of Opposition Groups: If the U.S.-Russia talks focus only on strategic concerns, democratic movements within Iran could be sidelined.

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Strengthening of the Iranian Regime: A Trump-Putin agreement that ignores Iran’s opposition could embolden the Tehran regime to crack down further.

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Final Thoughts šŸ¤”


As Trump and Putin negotiate, Iran’s opposition movements face a potential crisis. If geopolitical deals take precedence over human rights and democracy inside Iran, the fight for freedom in Iran could be significantly weakened. Thus strengthening Iran's influence on Middle Eastern affairs, such as Israel, Syria, Lebanon, Yemen, Palestine. The mere fact that Khamenei's appointed newspaper outlet is stating their concerns publicly should be enough to concern both domestic and foreign resistance to the regime, as well as Putin and Trump's administration.



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